Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.308619 0.360020 0.414283 0.475549 0.542513 0.613212 0.693226
2025-01-12 0.231503 0.300705 0.378650 0.471784 0.578899 0.697170 0.836562
2025-01-19 0.182955 0.263452 0.359725 0.480588 0.625593 0.791490 0.993156
2025-01-26 0.149193 0.237338 0.348837 0.495080 0.676928 0.891102 1.157917
2025-02-02 0.123155 0.216137 0.340209 0.509549 0.726805 0.989051 1.322438
2025-02-09 0.096748 0.189400 0.320344 0.506489 0.752797 1.057209 1.451626
2025-02-16 0.079481 0.172565 0.311207 0.515422 0.792763 1.142239 1.602032
2025-02-23 0.062688 0.152960 0.295309 0.512863 0.816161 1.205699 1.725841
2025-03-02 0.045504 0.128568 0.268848 0.492465 0.813359 1.234048 1.804653
2025-03-09 0.036773 0.117449 0.261366 0.498252 0.845507 1.307550 1.941254
2025-03-16 0.027254 0.101968 0.244541 0.488215 0.854210 1.349325 2.036770
2025-03-23 0.023611 0.098374 0.247431 0.508234 0.905787 1.448949 2.208594
2025-03-30 0.017984 0.088364 0.237977 0.508539 0.929432 1.512255 2.335332
2025-04-06 0.013571 0.079696 0.229760 0.509997 0.954421 1.577580 2.465550
2025-04-13 0.010895 0.074920 0.228372 0.522411 0.995812 1.666050 2.627676
2025-04-20 0.009007 0.071827 0.229896 0.539564 1.044515 1.765211 2.805120
2025-04-27 0.007369 0.068784 0.231074 0.555953 1.092217 1.863486 2.982341
2025-05-04 0.005095 0.061459 0.221892 0.553329 1.110044 1.919426 3.102406
2025-05-11 0.003831 0.057588 0.219850 0.563156 1.147317 2.003353 3.261359
2025-05-18 0.002469 0.051452 0.211472 0.560648 1.164622 2.058514 3.381084
2025-05-25 0.001141 0.042299 0.193764 0.539120 1.150208 2.066942 3.435768
2025-06-01 0.000696 0.039050 0.190710 0.545328 1.180819 2.141289 3.582604
2025-06-08 0.000265 0.033326 0.179591 0.534711 1.183013 2.173440 3.670384